Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert is in force until 10 September 2026, 03:00 UTC.
It is the 65th strongest of the 96 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 September 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued September 9 at 2:51PM EDT until September 9 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 93,673 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- September 3, 2026 · score 51 · 0.0 km
- September 2, 2026 · score 51 · 0.0 km
- September 1, 2026 · score 32 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 43.0000, -75.5000 |
| Nearest City | Rome (24 km) |
| Population Exposed | 93.7K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-09T18:51:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.8c3383eb7010261a8079236b46c503d28cce047d.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Allegany, NY; Cattaraugus, NY; Chautauqua, NY; Ripley to Dunkirk NY; Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued September 9 at 2:51PM EDT until September 9 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-09-09T23:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c3383eb7010261a8079236b46c503d28cce047d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c3383eb7010261a8079236b46c503d28cce047d.002.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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